Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY : January 21, 2016
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 164.34; (P) 165.58; (R1) 167.18;
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Break of 161.8% projection of 195.86 to 180.36 from 188.79 at 163.71 will target 200% projection at 157.79. On the upside, above 169.09 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations.
In the bigger picture, current development confirmed medium term topping at 195.86 on bearish pergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 195.86 is currently viewed as a correction. 38.2% retracement of 116.83 to 195.86 at 165.67 is already met. Based on the current momentum, the correction would likely extend to 61.8% retracement at 147.01 before completion.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.55; (P) 127.45; (R1) 128.29;
Further decline is still expected as long as 129.07 resistance turned support holds. However, we’ll stay cautious on strong support from 126.09 and bring rebound. Break of 129.07 support turned resistance will turn bias to the upside for 134.58 resistance first. However, sustained break of 126.09 will carry larger bearish implications.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 149.76 medium term top is viewed as developing into a corrective pattern. At this point, as long as 126.09 support holds, we’d expect a sideway pattern between 126.09 and 149.76 in medium term, to be followed by upside breakout at a later stage. However, decisive break of 126.09 will raise some question over this outlook and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 115.36.