Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY : November 01, 2016
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.43; (P) 127.95; (R1) 128.82;
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral for consolidation above 124.81 minor support. Overall outlook remains bearish with 129.61 support turned resistance intact. The larger down trend would extend to 61.8% projection of 163.87 to 128.66 from 138.81 at 117.05. Meanwhile, break of 129.61 support turned neutral resistance confirm bottoming and bring lengthier consolidation.
In the bigger picture, fall from 195.86 medium term top is still in progress and met 100% projection of 195.86 to 154.70 from 163.87 at 122.71. There is prospect of retesting 116.83 (2011 low). On the upside, break of 138.81 resistance is needed to be the first sign medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.
GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart
GBP/JPY Daily Chart
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 114.73; (P) 115.00; (R1) 115.34;
EUR/JPY is bounded inside recent triangle consolidation and intraday bias remains neutral. Break of 116.27 resistance will extend the rebound from 109.20. But in that case, strong resistance should be seen at longer fibonacci level at 121.36 to limit upside. Meanwhile, break of 112.60 support will bring retest of 109.20 low next.
In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is in place at 109.20 and rebound from there would extend. However, momentum isn’t convincing enough for trend reversal yet. Hence, in case of stronger rise, we’d be expecting strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 141.04 to 109.20 at 121.36 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 112.07 will extend the down trend from 149.76 to 76.4% retracement of 94.11 to 149.76 at 107.24.
EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart
EUR/JPY Daily Chart