Daily Currency Outlook: USD/CHF And GBP/USD : December 20,2018
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9916; (P) 0.9936; (R1) 0.9966;
Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with the current recovery. Outlook is unchanged that the correction from 1.0128 might still extend. But in case of another fall downside should be contained by 0.9848 support to bring near term reversal. On the upside, above 0.9989 will turn bias back to the upside. Break of 1.0008 will target a test on 1.0128 high.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the medium term rally from 0.9186 hasn’t completed yet. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance next (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.9848 support will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 0.9541 key support instead.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2586; (P) 1.2633; (R1) 1.2657;
GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.2476 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Another rise could still be seen but upside should be limited by 1.2811 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2476 will extend larger down trend from 1.4376 to 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3174 at 1.2114. However, firm break of 1.2811 will be an early signal of trend reversal and turn focus back to 1.3174 resistance.
In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it’s resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should now target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view.